PolicyEngine · MaxGhenis · Aug 27, 2026 · Aug 27, 2026
diff --git a/ledger/official_observations.jsonl b/ledger/official_observations.jsonl
@@ -213,3 +213,4 @@
 {"source_record_id":"census.new_residential_sales.new_single_family_houses_sold_saar.2026_07.first_print","label":"US new single-family home sales, seasonally adjusted annual rate, 2026-07","value":607.0,"observed_at":"2026-08-25","period":{"type":"month","value":"2026-07"},"domain":"economy","geography":{"level":"country","id":"0100000US","vintage":"current","name":"United States"},"entity":{"name":"economy","role":"aggregate"},"measure":{"concept":"census.new_residential_sales.new_single_family_houses_sold_saar.2026_07","unit":"thousands","source_concept":"HSN1F","concept_relation":"source_label","concept_authority":"census","concept_evidence_url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=HSN1F&vintage_date=2026-08-25","concept_evidence_notes":"First print for 2026-07 captured from https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=HSN1F&vintage_date=2026-08-25 on the official release date named by the cell's resolver."},"aggregation":{"method":"level"},"filters":{},"source":{"source_name":"census_new_home_sales","source_table":"New Residential Sales, Table 1","source_file":"alfredgraph.csv","url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=HSN1F&vintage_date=2026-08-25","vintage":"first_print","extracted_at":"2026-08-25","extraction_method":"Automated first-print capture by scripts/resolve_pending.py (anchor-verified adapter)"},"source_row_keys":["2026-07"],"source_cell_keys":["HSN1F"],"ledgerRepoSha":"54dbabc8e861bf66ef824da11a3005372b34c4b4","sourceVintage":"2026-08-25","retrievedAt":"2026-08-25T14:28:21Z","responseArchive":{"path":"records/resolutions/2026-08-25/2026-08-25t14-28-21z-resolve-pending/responses/hsn1f-2026-08-25-5e0b043ecae853af.csv.gz","sha256":"5e0b043ecae853af7de98192d92caee90b6ce1a4ab2219d0620dc808dc0b273f","bytes":11526,"gzipSha256":"b1ed24efb6af444edf53cd2371180fecb2bdaf20d3f52d74c03f63769ad603ba","gzipBytes":3146,"contentEncoding":"gzip"},"assertionVersion":{"id":"av2:ba056ff4a86199bcddd71b8e66bc472c3cebbd885f07de0d940208f53b835545","supersedes":null},"targetContentHash":"0f2d2e4dcfee851ef8eef4f673d139bc9935d1db55456076f8a6694d439db399","sourceBindingProjection":{"series":"census.new_residential_sales.new_single_family_houses_sold_saar","concept":"census.new_residential_sales.new_single_family_houses_sold_saar.2026_07","period":"2026-07","releasePolicy":"first_print","table":"New Residential Sales, Table 1","field":"HSN1F","transform":{"factor":1,"operation":"multiply"},"unit":"thousands","sourceUrl":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=HSN1F&vintage_date=2026-08-25","responseSha256":"5e0b043ecae853af7de98192d92caee90b6ce1a4ab2219d0620dc808dc0b273f"}}
 {"source_record_id":"census.m3.durable_goods_new_orders_mom.2026_07.first_print","label":"US durable goods new orders, monthly change, 2026-07","value":1.1,"observed_at":"2026-08-26","period":{"type":"month","value":"2026-07"},"domain":"economy","geography":{"level":"country","id":"0100000US","vintage":"current","name":"United States"},"entity":{"name":"economy","role":"aggregate"},"measure":{"concept":"census.m3.durable_goods_new_orders_mom.2026_07","unit":"percent_growth","source_concept":"DGORDER","concept_relation":"source_label","concept_authority":"census","concept_evidence_url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=DGORDER&vintage_date=2026-08-26","concept_evidence_notes":"First print for 2026-07 captured from https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=DGORDER&vintage_date=2026-08-26 on the official release date named by the cell's resolver."},"aggregation":{"method":"level"},"filters":{},"source":{"source_name":"census_m3","source_table":"Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders","source_file":"alfredgraph.csv","url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=DGORDER&vintage_date=2026-08-26","vintage":"first_print","extracted_at":"2026-08-26","extraction_method":"Automated first-print capture by scripts/resolve_pending.py (anchor-verified adapter)"},"source_row_keys":["2026-07"],"source_cell_keys":["DGORDER"],"ledgerRepoSha":"734beb8505c4a40ccdf1cbfdf624a076310638b9","sourceVintage":"2026-08-26","retrievedAt":"2026-08-26T14:28:17Z","responseArchive":{"path":"records/resolutions/2026-08-26/2026-08-26t14-28-17z-resolve-pending/responses/dgorder-2026-08-26-8ace97b42555d33c.csv.gz","sha256":"8ace97b42555d33c78c1f3da379403305a7612677ab5470cd72f32be50db1f59","bytes":7486,"gzipSha256":"8be1b1ab1a05ee55883a55f555065d95eb8b79a1b974c83fea74f60ca421a1c1","gzipBytes":2367,"contentEncoding":"gzip"},"assertionVersion":{"id":"av2:9a3f6a89a50684751b43bdc5d1305b27a52dd9cd4e7f36c1586f2234ef743057","supersedes":null},"targetContentHash":"d6f28095537ab7cb8796d55dd43d50e385eeed4b422bded333bedb06d0e4f3b7","sourceBindingProjection":{"series":"census.m3.durable_goods_new_orders_mom","concept":"census.m3.durable_goods_new_orders_mom.2026_07","period":"2026-07","releasePolicy":"first_print","table":"Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders","field":"DGORDER","transform":{"factor":1,"operation":"multiply"},"unit":"percent_growth","sourceUrl":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=DGORDER&vintage_date=2026-08-26","responseSha256":"8ace97b42555d33c78c1f3da379403305a7612677ab5470cd72f32be50db1f59"}}
 {"source_record_id":"census.m3.durable_goods_shipments_mom.2026_07.first_print","label":"US durable goods shipments, monthly change, 2026-07","value":1.0,"observed_at":"2026-08-26","period":{"type":"month","value":"2026-07"},"domain":"economy","geography":{"level":"country","id":"0100000US","vintage":"current","name":"United States"},"entity":{"name":"economy","role":"aggregate"},"measure":{"concept":"census.m3.durable_goods_shipments_mom.2026_07","unit":"percent_growth","source_concept":"AMDMVS","concept_relation":"source_label","concept_authority":"census","concept_evidence_url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=AMDMVS&vintage_date=2026-08-26","concept_evidence_notes":"First print for 2026-07 captured from https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=AMDMVS&vintage_date=2026-08-26 on the official release date named by the cell's resolver."},"aggregation":{"method":"level"},"filters":{},"source":{"source_name":"census_m3","source_table":"Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders","source_file":"alfredgraph.csv","url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=AMDMVS&vintage_date=2026-08-26","vintage":"first_print","extracted_at":"2026-08-26","extraction_method":"Automated first-print capture by scripts/resolve_pending.py (anchor-verified adapter)"},"source_row_keys":["2026-07"],"source_cell_keys":["AMDMVS"],"ledgerRepoSha":"734beb8505c4a40ccdf1cbfdf624a076310638b9","sourceVintage":"2026-08-26","retrievedAt":"2026-08-26T14:28:17Z","responseArchive":{"path":"records/resolutions/2026-08-26/2026-08-26t14-28-17z-resolve-pending/responses/amdmvs-2026-08-26-c5e7320552016600.csv.gz","sha256":"c5e73205520166000bcaa87d78fbd87042d75c5a88601e6f69cb8f2ff8d94ac9","bytes":7503,"gzipSha256":"11cc041089a562b65572aa05e7192b20bb90ee8099adc35cb89fcf8752a2c722","gzipBytes":2342,"contentEncoding":"gzip"},"assertionVersion":{"id":"av2:d1da370c45c9fcd5e99410ac5c0853aed4c08d74299b49e7db5f2c25f8a99b43","supersedes":null},"targetContentHash":"c41517a667d8f0263c9113e0c85438385b4bddf98a8e86427e6946fb916edb17","sourceBindingProjection":{"series":"census.m3.durable_goods_shipments_mom","concept":"census.m3.durable_goods_shipments_mom.2026_07","period":"2026-07","releasePolicy":"first_print","table":"Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders","field":"AMDMVS","transform":{"factor":1,"operation":"multiply"},"unit":"percent_growth","sourceUrl":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=AMDMVS&vintage_date=2026-08-26","responseSha256":"c5e73205520166000bcaa87d78fbd87042d75c5a88601e6f69cb8f2ff8d94ac9"}}
+{"source_record_id":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.week_2026-08-15.first_print","label":"US insured unemployment (SA, advance), week ending 2026-08-15","value":1.778,"observed_at":"2026-08-27","period":{"type":"week_ending","value":"2026-08-15"},"domain":"labor","geography":{"level":"country","id":"0100000US","vintage":"current","name":"United States"},"entity":{"name":"person","role":"ui_claimant"},"measure":{"concept":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa","unit":"millions","source_concept":"CCSA","concept_relation":"source_label","concept_authority":"dol_eta","concept_evidence_url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=CCSA&vintage_date=2026-08-27","concept_evidence_notes":"DOL ETA UI Weekly Claims news release, advance seasonally adjusted figure for the week ending 2026-08-15, read from FRED CCSA (advance vintage) as the cell's resolver names."},"aggregation":{"method":"level"},"filters":{},"source":{"source_name":"dol_eta","source_table":"Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims (advance)","source_file":"fredgraph.csv","url":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=CCSA&vintage_date=2026-08-27","vintage":"advance","extracted_at":"2026-08-27","extraction_method":"Automated first-print capture via FRED series CCSA by scripts/resolve_pending.py"},"source_row_keys":["2026-08-15"],"source_cell_keys":["CCSA"],"ledgerRepoSha":"9526211a3970993269523e1e43f4b17ccad846de","sourceVintage":"2026-08-27","retrievedAt":"2026-08-27T23:04:10Z","responseArchive":{"path":"records/resolutions/2026-08-27/2026-08-27t23-04-10z-resolve-pending/responses/ccsa-2026-08-27-72034ab691cea571.csv.gz","sha256":"72034ab691cea5710931e6cf059041e947453b18ce77361f78166bac8b5140e1","bytes":59163,"gzipSha256":"5809d791ce0cad2de647bb5f763d18b7005e2f3677ae5774c2f0099da9c64074","gzipBytes":15656,"contentEncoding":"gzip"},"assertionVersion":{"id":"av2:f0d2df4839037712d7334da67498e86803fcad24a188cf26ea140e16bbeb8f20","supersedes":null},"targetContentHash":"88d9a299ea398bb463f4263048ae7ca91aec787c14c3e41d2307180fda4ac9fb","sourceBindingProjection":{"series":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa","concept":"dol.eta.continued_claims.sa","period":"week_2026-08-15","releasePolicy":"advance_vintage","table":"ALFRED graph CSV","field":"CCSA","transform":{"factor":1e-06,"operation":"multiply"},"unit":"millions","sourceUrl":"https://alfred.stlouisfed.org/graph/alfredgraph.csv?id=CCSA&vintage_date=2026-08-27","responseSha256":"72034ab691cea5710931e6cf059041e947453b18ce77361f78166bac8b5140e1"}}
diff --git a/ledger/series_catalog.json b/ledger/series_catalog.json
@@ -1,9 +1,9 @@
 {
   "comment": "Canonical series catalog. One row per (concept, geography level/id/vintage, entity) identity. UUID authority is the append-only ledger/series_uuid_registry.jsonl (digest below): a uuid is minted once, inherited from the registry on every regeneration, and changes only through explicit, chained supersede/retire/revive/succeeds events recorded there (live bindings and rows stay in bijection). Consumers reference series by uuid or concept only. Regenerate with scripts/build_series_catalog.py; verify with --check. Aliases are curated identity statements (plus observed spellings of the same identity) and inherit only within one (geography, entity) slice; aliases listed in ambiguous_aliases match multiple rows and never drive inheritance. source_concepts are publisher labels â provenance, never identity. Cross-spelling and cross-vintage merges are manual curation: delete the absorbed row, alias its concept on the survivor, regenerate with --allow-remint.",
   "generator_version": 3,
-  "observations_sha256": "f30824fd17f604b5f010fe0055b183fe01be8aca8783d6744c3d981f215e884c",
-  "observation_rows": 215,
-  "current_assertion_rows": 215,
+  "observations_sha256": "d4fe16b9072cc8493f3f47b1554ee96a96e89183952941dc111345480717b1e5",
+  "observation_rows": 216,
+  "current_assertion_rows": 216,
   "docket_seed_sha256": "5914192517350e0166045afd9064a515ea312acbea1844d9cb594cc9f525dbb9",
   "uuid_registry_sha256": "0d9d893f4fc922650b897a5b250fbbb291e9db89ec23bb6246ca8e69ebb48fea",
   "suspect_segments": [
@@ -237,6 +237,7 @@
       "us.dol.initial_claims.sa"
     ],
     "week_2026-08-15": [
+      "dol.eta.continued_claims.sa",
       "us.dol.initial_claims.sa"
     ],
     "week_2026_06_13": [
@@ -3121,8 +3122,8 @@
         "dol.eta.continued_claims.sa.{P}.first_print"
       ],
       "first_observed_period": "2026-06-27",
-      "last_observed_period": "2026-08-08",
-      "observation_count": 7
+      "last_observed_period": "2026-08-15",
+      "observation_count": 8
     },
     {
       "uuid": "32b335ea-b2dd-4fba-8321-e9751df19318",

diff --git a/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.digicert.tsr b/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.digicert.tsr
diff --git a/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.freetsa.tsr b/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.freetsa.tsr
diff --git a/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.json b/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.json
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+{"append":{"appendedBytesSha256":"8e580b805fcda06673d9cadd18799399807b685be6b34058b5d3588c6f11a2af","appendedRowCount":1,"previousLineCount":215},"createdAtUtc":"2026-08-27T23:04:34Z","previousManifestSha256":"20974a5bdeeace01e2f5d34abc3b385beb249971e2d737ca56133656787ed56d","producer":{"branch":"codex/thesis-ledger-facts","repo":"PolicyEngine/chronicle"},"releaseIndex":19,"schemaVersion":"thesis_ledger_release_v1","state":{"immutablePrefixSha256":"db5d69575db0adb505b1b46b0496befb852315b3ff8c7690313fe77319578c0b","jsonlSha256":"d4fe16b9072cc8493f3f47b1554ee96a96e89183952941dc111345480717b1e5","lineCount":216,"path":"ledger/official_observations.jsonl"}}
diff --git a/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.producer.sig b/releases/manifests/0019-01d2f0bfb2ebff75.producer.sig
@@ -0,0 +1 @@
+êýW¶1^àgäàºë¤ù-{ÂÒF?½9DJ³æº§îjÒË/Óòt¥ç\¡V*GOÁûkA2a
Original file line number	Diff line number	Diff line change
		@@ -0,0 +1 @@
		{"append":{"appendedBytesSha256":"8e580b805fcda06673d9cadd18799399807b685be6b34058b5d3588c6f11a2af","appendedRowCount":1,"previousLineCount":215},"createdAtUtc":"2026-08-27T23:04:34Z","previousManifestSha256":"20974a5bdeeace01e2f5d34abc3b385beb249971e2d737ca56133656787ed56d","producer":{"branch":"codex/thesis-ledger-facts","repo":"PolicyEngine/chronicle"},"releaseIndex":19,"schemaVersion":"thesis_ledger_release_v1","state":{"immutablePrefixSha256":"db5d69575db0adb505b1b46b0496befb852315b3ff8c7690313fe77319578c0b","jsonlSha256":"d4fe16b9072cc8493f3f47b1554ee96a96e89183952941dc111345480717b1e5","lineCount":216,"path":"ledger/official_observations.jsonl"}}
Original file line number	Diff line number	Diff line change
		@@ -0,0 +1 @@
		êýW¶1^àgäàºë¤ù-{ÂÒF?½9DJ³æº§îjÒË/Óòt¥ç\¡V*GOÁûkA2a